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Pantera Capital Forecasts Crypto in 2026 and Reviews 2025 Progress

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Pantera Capital Forecasts Crypto in 2026 and Reviews 2025 Progress

Key Takeaways

  • 1 Pantera Capital named 2025 a year of structural progress for cryptocurrencies.
  • 2 Eric Low noted that 2025 brought more structural changes than any previous year in crypto history.
  • 3 Key regulatory changes in 2025 included Gary Gensler's resignation and Paul Atkins' appointment as SEC chair.
  • 4 SAB 121 was repealed, major SEC lawsuits ended; stablecoin laws passed, and the White House AI-crypto task force reduced regulatory risks.
  • 5 Coinbase joined the S&P 500, Vanguard allowed crypto ETFs for 50 million clients managing $11 trillion; on-chain growth in RWA and stablecoins was notable.
  • 6 Pantera expects Bitcoin-Fi participation to grow beyond 1% supply; tokenization and real assets present long-term opportunities.

Pantera Capital sees 2025 as a year of structural progress for crypto: regulatory shifts, institutional access, and on-chain growth set the stage for 2026.

Pantera Capital, in its December blockchain letter, calls 2025 a year of structural progress for the crypto industry. The firm asserts that significant regulatory and institutional changes, along with infrastructure advancements, reshaped long-term market expectations more than price fluctuations.

Pantera Capital on Structural Changes in Cryptocurrencies in 2025

In its December letter, Pantera emphasizes that despite modest price movements, 2025 brought deep structural changes. Eric Low, Pantera's head of content, explicitly stated that this year delivered more structural progress than any other year in crypto history. The firm believes the combination of regulatory actions, expanded institutional access, and infrastructure development formed a new trajectory for the industry.

Regulatory Changes and Their Market Impact

Pantera lists several key regulatory events that reduced systemic risks for the market. These include Gary Gensler's resignation and Paul Atkins' appointment as SEC chair, the repeal of SAB 121, and the cessation of major SEC lawsuits against industry participants. More details on regulatory nuances can be found in the cryptocurrency policy overview.

Additionally, Pantera highlights the passage of stablecoin legislation and progress on market structure bills in Congress, as well as the White House's AI and crypto task force creation, which lowered regulatory uncertainty. According to the firm, these steps have made the U.S. a viable onshore hub again for issuance and innovation in crypto.

Institutional Adoption of Cryptocurrencies

Pantera points to accelerated institutional access as a driver of structural shift. Notably, Coinbase joined the S&P 500, becoming the first "crypto-native" company in the index, and Vanguard lifted its ban on crypto ETFs, opening access for 50 million clients managing $11 trillion in assets. These events strengthen digital assets' validity as an investment category.

The firm also notes product and listing expansions: the launch of tokenized stocks, multiple crypto ETFs broadening, and several blockchain companies going public. For a detailed look at Pantera's forecasts and trends, see the key Pantera trends article.

Infrastructure and On-Chain Metrics

On-chain metrics confirmed these changes: Pantera cites a 235% increase in real-world assets (RWA) and a $100 billion rise in stablecoin supply. The firm views these figures as signs that infrastructure for tokenization and real asset integration is actively developing.

On the technology side, Pantera highlights Bitcoin-Fi (BTCFi) growth, expecting continued expansion of participation above 1% of supply through staking, lending, and institutional integrations. Emerging infrastructure components like ZK-TLS and web proofs are also noted for enabling trusted use of off-chain data.

Why This Matters

If you mine in Russia, these changes might not immediately affect your profitability but they alter the market structure you operate in. Regulatory clarity and institutional access reduce systemic risks and increase the likelihood that crypto assets remain part of global investment flows, even if they don't directly impact mining operations.

Moreover, tokenization growth and real asset integration create additional demand for blockchain infrastructure and crypto financial products. For miners, this means the ecosystem will gradually become less volatile in fundamental risks, although price cycles remain possible.

What to Do?

  • Assess risks: verify your operations comply with local regulations and have documentation confirming legal equipment placement.
  • Monitor liquidity and solvency: consider potential changes in demand for exchange and custody services, but avoid decisions based solely on price movements.
  • Diversify approaches: if you have from one to a thousand devices, consider combining direct mining with participation in staking or lending services where applicable and legal.
  • Use knowledge sources: read market and policy reviews to understand regulatory risks and institutional trends; useful material on infrastructure changes is available in the article about cryptocurrency mining in 2025.

These recommendations are based on the structural shifts described by Pantera and aim to minimize management and regulatory risks for miners in Russia. When making decisions, rely on your own situation and official regulator clarifications.

Frequently Asked Questions

Why does Pantera consider 2025 important for crypto despite modest prices?

Pantera believes regulatory clarity, institutional access, and infrastructure development had more long-term significance than short-term price dynamics.

What key regulatory steps did Pantera mention?

The letter cites Gary Gensler's resignation, Paul Atkins' appointment as SEC chair, SAB 121 repeal, cessation of major SEC cases, stablecoin legislation, and the White House AI and crypto task force creation.

Which institutional events boosted crypto adoption in 2025?

Pantera highlights Coinbase joining the S&P 500, Vanguard allowing crypto ETFs for 50 million clients managing $11 trillion, and expansion of products like tokenized stocks and multiple crypto ETFs.

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